Miklos K. Radvanyi, vice president of the Frontiers of Freedom Institute provided an analysis for Gulyáságyú Média. / Radványi Miklós, az egyesült államokbeli republikánus think-tank, a Frontiers of Freedom Institute alelnöke angol nyelvű elemzése a Gulyáságyú Média számára.
You can find all of Miklos K. Radvanyi’s opinion pieces on this link. Radványi Miklós összes írását ezen a linken találja.
Nyitóképünkön: Donald Trump elnök kétoldalú megbeszélésen vesz részt Hszi Csin-ping kínai elnökkel. Forrás Fehér Ház.
Támogatóink hozzájárulása nélkül ez a cikkünk sem készülhetett volna el. Ne csak olvassa, támogassa is lapunkat: kattintson ide.
According to the unanimous reporting of all the major media outlets across the globe, “nothing from China was allowed on Air Force One” that carried President Trump, his retinue, and members of the media on their round-trip flights between Washington, D.C. and Beijing. This supreme manifestation of an all-encompassing distrust by the American Head of the Executive Branch vis-à-vis his host in Beijing was and remains the most telling psychological proof of the present as well as the future foundation of the bilateral relations between the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China. The cardinal lesson of the two-day summit is that reports on and theories of relations between the White House and Zhongnanhai are generally hollow when it comes to dealing with reality. Clearly, all the China “experts” as well as the “realists” who have predicted that America could “engage” fairly with President Xi Jinping and his tyranny have been proven wrong.
Why Trust Remains Elusive
In reality, Beijing will never produce a true “reset” with Washington, D.C., and “fair” cooperation in politics, science, the economy, trade, and geopolitical conflicts, shall not “moderate” the People’s Republic of China, regardless of the character of the temporarily reigning tyrant. Moreover, the summit showed that a negative visionary mindset, such as unfounded idealism, foggy illusions, and defeatist cynicism, will never lead to genuine trust toward authoritarian/tyrannical political constructs.
What the Summit Actually Achieved
Let us start with the facts. The main subjects discussed at the summit included trade and tariffs; economic “managed trade” arrangements; Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural products; rare earth minerals and critical supply chains; technology competition, especially AI and semiconductors; export controls; Taiwan and U.S. arms sales to Taipei; and strategic stability in the U.S.-China relations; the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz security; North Korea and the Korean Peninsula stability; Russia-Ukraine diplomacy; investment access and financial relations; industrial overcapacity and manufacturing competition; Fentanyl precursor controls; aviation/commercial deals, including Boeing; Indo-Pacific tensions. In addition, there were discussions about establishing a “Board of Trade,” possibly a “Board of Investment,” and maintaining regular leader-level dialogue.
As a result, some verbal agreements were reached on a few topics. Concrete understandings are: China agreed to increase purchases of American agricultural products, including beef, poultry, and soybeans; Boeing aircraft purchases were announced; continued discussion on rare earths and critical mineral supply chains; fentanyl precursor controls; and joint support for preventing nuclear proliferation involving Iran and North Korea. However, there were no agreements on Taiwan; military competition; South China Sea issues; or the core strategic rivalry itself. In summary, there were discussions without resolutions. Thus, the core conflicts between the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China remain totally unresolved.
Consequently, the highest priority of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is survival, which should be accomplished, according to President Xi, through the internal maintenance of ubiquitous Party monopoly. In foreign policy, Taiwan’s, Tibet’s, Xinjiang’s, and Hong Kong’s status are absolutely non-negotiable. The People’s Republic of China’s sovereignty claims across the entire South China Sea are equally non-negotiable.
Taiwan and the South China Sea
Among these, Taiwan and the South China Sea are the central issues. Challenging the “One China Policy” by calling for independence of Taiwan and foreign military support for the island crosses the Chinese “Red Line.” Ideologically, this Freudian “psychological projection” illustrates that President Xi and his colleagues are not fully rational actors domestically or internationally. Their strategic calculations are permanently shaped by unconscious emotions of the supremacy of the Chinese Civilization, oversized prestige, mendacious myths, mistaken identity, and distorted historical memory. All this means is that the vast majority of the geopolitical conflicts with the tyrannical regime in China are overwhelmingly struggles over dealing with the uniquely irrational Chinese psychology, and not exclusively territory or economics.
The Limits of Engagement
This same psychological tribalism is the reason for the improbability of any long-term rational compromise with the tyranny that has existed in Beijing since 1949. Projecting this geopolitical stance to the present conundrum in the world, President Xi’s domestic as well as international positions are destructively destabilizing. With time, the People’s Republic of China will exhibit more lethal reactions, more irrationally catastrophic paranoia, and more ruinous aggression. The end result of President Xi’s hillbilly “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics” will surely lead in the future to the collapse of the People’s Republic of China as it is now constituted.
Such a realistic analysis of today’s China can lead to a better understanding of what makes the tyrannical regimes ephemeral and democracies strong and able to resist. The key to confront the People’s Republic of China successfully is the unity of the democratic West. Throughout its political existence, Communist China has proven itself to be much weaker than it appeared on paper. Presently, it projects the image of an unstoppably strong tyrannical regime. Yet, in reality, it is weak both internally as well as externally. To express it more bluntly, it is a paper tiger. The United States of America and its allies should never budge from their ”red lines” concerning the strengthening of democracy and the uncompromising resistance to the barbaric tyranny of Beijing. Unshakable adherence to freedom is better for the world than the idiotic belief of superficial theorists who are always ready to unconditionally trust tyrants of different authoritarian persuasions.
Ehhez a cikkünkhöz is hozzászólhat a Facebookon: